Peter Obi leads Tinubu, Atiku, others in fresh popularity poll

Presidential candidate of the Labour Party, Peter Obi has emerged victorious in an opinion poll by ANAP Foundation ahead of the 2023 presidential poll, defeating both the Presidential candidate of the ruling All Progressives Candidate, (APC) Bola Tinubu and Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

In the opinion poll, Obi led with 21% while both Tinubu and Atiku are tied in second place with 13% each. Kwankwaso of the NNPP is at a distant fourth with only 3%.

ANAP foundation has traditionally organized political opinion polls ahead of each of the presidential elections since 2011 and are conducted by front line polling company, NOI polls.

According to the founder of ANAP, Atedo Peterside, the recent nationwide opinion poll was concluded in early September 2022 with each of the respondents asked the same question, “suppose the presidential election is being conducted today, who you are likely to vote for.”

According to a statement personally signed by Peterside, “the poll revealed a substantially close race between Mr. Peter Obi of Labour Party (LP), Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC) and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP).

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“The results showed a significant lead for Mr. Peter Obi with 21% of voters proposing to vote for him if the presidential election were to be conducted today; and 13% each proposing to vote for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar who are both tied in second place. Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso was a distant fourth with 3% of voters proposing to vote for him.

“Mr. Peter Obi’s 8 percentage point lead at this early stage is significant, but not sufficient to separate him completely from a leading pack of candidates scoring 21%, 13% and 13% respectively.

“Undecided voters and those who prefer not to reveal their preferred candidate add up to a whopping 32% and 15% respectively. The gender split of undecided voters shows that 39% of women are undecided versus 27% of male voters.”

The percentage of registered voters among the respondents is as follows in each of the zones – 99% in the North East, 90% in the South, the North Central and the North West respectively. The lowest registered voter percentages were in the South East with 88% and the South West with 85%.

According to the statement by ANAP foundation, “it is worthy of note that 69% of those aged 18-25, 76% of those aged 26-35, 77% of those aged 36-45, 87% of those aged 46-60 and 89% of those aged 61+ responded saying that they would definitely vote in the coming elections.

The statement concluded that “in summary, our September 2022 Polls are inconclusive in terms of establishing a clear winner, as the undecided voters are large enough to turn the tables. However, ANAP Foundation has concluded that the trends are clear enough to establish the front runners and so our subsequent polls will concentrate on the four leading candidates only.”